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India Wholesale Inflation Below Forecasts — TradingView News

India Wholesale Inflation Below Forecasts — TradingView News

India’s wholesale inflation demonstrated a noteworthy deceleration in July 2026, registering a year-on-year increase of 9.78%. This figure represents a slowdown from the 9.87% gain observed in June, which had been the most rapid increase since September 2022. Significantly, this latest inflation rate fell below market expectations of 9.95%, indicating a more favorable economic trend than anticipated.

This moderation in India’s wholesale prices marks the softest increase recorded since April. The primary drivers behind this easing were less pronounced rises in both food and fuel prices, a trend largely attributable to the softening of global oil prices. The impact on fuel prices was particularly evident, with a substantial moderation to 20.05% in July, down from 27.41% in June. This significant shift was predominantly influenced by more subdued increases in mineral oil prices (32.4% vs. 46.48%) and crude petroleum and natural gas prices (26.99% vs. 34.75%).

Furthermore, food inflation also experienced a slight deceleration, falling to 5.44% in July from 5.49% in June. This marked the softest increase in food prices in three months, with the cost of food articles themselves moderating from 5.49% to 5.44%. These new inflation figures are calculated based on the revised 2022–23 base year, a crucial update that replaces the earlier 2011–12 series, offering a more contemporary and accurate reflection of price changes within the economy.

Despite these encouraging signs in food and fuel, manufacturing inflation presented a contrasting picture, accelerating to 8.29% from 7.48%. This represents the fastest pace of manufacturing inflation since June 2022. Several key sectors contributed to this acceleration, including tobacco products (13.36%), chemicals and chemical products (13.12%), basic metals (12.56%), textiles (12.80%), and rubber and plastics (10.38%). This divergence highlights the complex and multifaceted nature of India news regarding inflationary pressures across different economic segments.

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