India RBI’s rupee defence persists after at least $2 billion intervention on Thursday, bankers say


By Nimesh Vora and Jaspreet Kalra

MUMBAI, May 22 (Reuters) – The Reserve Bank of India sold $2 billion to $3 billion on Thursday to defend the rupee against relentless pressure and stepped in again ‌on Friday, helping it strengthen past the 96-per-dollar level, according to bankers.

The RBI intervened via ‌large state-run banks before the market opened on Thursday, triggering a rally in the rupee, with dollar sales continuing through most ​of the day.

The rupee rose 0.64% to close at 96.20 on the back of that intervention and extended past the 96 level on Friday, when the RBI resumed dollar sales, the bankers said.

Around $500 million was sold pre-market on Thursday, two of them added, with limited market liquidity at the time amplifying the effectiveness of the ‌intervention.

The bankers did not want to ⁠be identified as they are not authorised to speak publicly.

The intervention is a step up from recent days, when dollar sales averaged $1 billion.

India is also considering several ⁠steps to counter the depreciation in the rupee, trade minister Piyush Goyal said on Thursday, after the currency hit a string of a record lows in recent weeks.

Intervention estimates are typically based on market intelligence, with bankers tracking ​activity in ​state-run banks, inputs from FX brokers, and volumes on ​order-matching platforms.

Such pre-market intervention has been used ‌previously by the RBI to deter speculative positioning and temper expectations of further depreciation. The rupee had declined roughly 2.5% over the two weeks leading up to Thursday’s intervention.

The central bank did not immediately respond to an email seeking comment.

A change in how the RBI intervenes has also helped the currency, traders said. Until Thursday, the central bank had been supplying dollars at market levels without driving the rupee higher.

On ‌Thursday, the dollar sales appeared level-agnostic and geared to spark ​a rally in the rupee and possibly deter speculative positions, a ​trader at a Mumbai-based bank said.

“The RBI ​is currently the sole major (dollar) seller,” a treasury official at a private-sector bank ‌said. Without a moderation in oil prices, it ​will “remain that way”, he added.

Elevated ​crude oil prices triggered by the Middle East war are the main pain point for the rupee currently. India, the world’s third-largest oil importer, relies heavily on overseas crude purchases, meaning higher ​energy prices translate into larger daily ‌dollar demand from refiners.

The depreciation bias is feeding into importer hedging of forward dollar payments, ​with expectations of further rupee weakness adding another layer of structural demand for dollars.

(Reporting ​by Nimesh Vora, Jaspreet Kalra; Editing by Sonia Cheema)



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