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India’s telecom equipment sector has $50 billion export potential, Niti Aayog highlights key hurdles

India’s telecom equipment sector has $50 billion export potential, Niti Aayog highlights key hurdles

India’s vibrant and rapidly expanding telecom and network equipment sector stands poised to become a significant driver of the nation’s economic growth, yet it faces critical challenges that demand immediate attention. A recent Niti Aayog report underscores the sector’s immense potential, projecting that it could substantially boost its contribution to India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and play a pivotal role in achieving the ambitious target of $1 trillion in exports by 2030, a goal outlined in the National Telecom Policy 2025 (NTP-25).

Despite this optimistic outlook, the report meticulously details persistent hurdles that impede the sector’s full potential. A prominent concern is the heavy reliance on imports, which currently overshadows domestic manufacturing capabilities. Between 2020 and 2024, telecom and network equipment exports constituted a mere 0.2-0.3% of India’s total exports, amounting to an annual figure of $0.6-1 billion. In stark contrast, imports for the same period ranged from $4-5 billion annually, accounting for a significant 0.7-1.1% of all imports. This imbalance is further exacerbated by the fact that over 80% of crucial components, including advanced 4G and 5G antennas and sophisticated signal processors, are sourced primarily from China, highlighting a substantial dependency.

The supply chain for this vital sector is inherently complex and globally fragmented, making it susceptible to various disruptions. For instance, a typical Indian 5G base station is a multinational assembly, potentially integrating Taiwanese chipsets, Japanese optical transceivers, and US-designed IP cores. This intricate web of international suppliers means that any disturbance in a single market, whether due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or trade restrictions, can have cascading effects on the entire industry. This globalized yet vulnerable supply chain underscores the need for greater domestic resilience and self-sufficiency.

Domestically, Indian companies engaged in the production of generic Telecom and Network Equipment (TANE) face a considerable fiscal disadvantage. They contend with up to a 26% higher “fiscal disability” compared to their global counterparts, particularly in the high-value-added segments of telecom manufacturing. This disparity widens even further, reaching 29%, in product categories where buyer’s credit facilities are readily available against imports for extended periods, effectively incentivizing foreign procurement over local production. Furthermore, the report points out that a significant portion of domestic manufacturing remains concentrated in low-value assembly processes, with domestic value addition often falling below 20%. This suggests a lack of robust indigenous research, development, and high-tech manufacturing capabilities.

Recognizing these challenges, the government has initiated supportive measures, most notably the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, designed to stimulate domestic manufacturing and attract investment. The Niti Aayog report emphasizes that sustained and strategic government intervention is paramount. Such interventions could elevate the telecom and network equipment sector’s contribution to GDP to 1-1.5%, generate an estimated 500,000 skilled jobs, and ultimately position India as a global export hub with a $50 billion potential by 2035. The report confidently asserts that these proactive measures have the capacity to transform the sector’s current vulnerabilities into a formidable platform for global leadership, aligning with the NTP-25’s ambitious goals of achieving a 150% output surge and a 50% import substitution. Such robust government support will be instrumental in catalyzing indigenous manufacturing and fostering a competitive business environment.

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