Future Bright for AJ Smith-Shawver: Analyst Expresses Confidence in Braves Hurler’s Starting Potential
The development of Atlanta’s young pitching talent remains a focal point for the organization’s long-term aspirations. Among the most discussed arms in the system is right-hander AJ Smith-Shawver, whose trajectory as a major league starter has been a frequent topic of debate among scouts and observers.
During a recent prospect chat hosted by FanGraphs on August 28, 2024, lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen addressed questions regarding whether Smith-Shawver truly possesses the durability and skill set to remain a long-term fixture in a big-league rotation.
Despite a challenging season marked by injury setbacks and the difficulties associated with being promoted through the minor league ranks at an accelerated pace, Longenhagen remains bullish on the 21-year-old’s outlook.
“I love him,” Longenhagen stated during the Q&A session. “Built and moves like a good starter.”
Longenhagen’s assessment hinges on the natural maturation process that young pitchers must undergo. While acknowledging that Smith-Shawver was arguably “rushed” to the majors before his development was fully realized—a situation further complicated by physical health issues—the analyst argued that these obstacles are not insurmountable barriers.
“Pitchers are constantly making adjustments,” Longenhagen noted. “I see no reason why, after he was rushed and injured, he won’t successfully make some of his own.”
The Braves have made a habit of trusting their internal evaluations, and with the organization currently navigating a competitive window, the status of their pitching depth remains critical. As the team evaluates its roster options—including the recent contributions of veterans like Martin Perez—the continued growth of high-upside arms like Smith-Shawver serves as a vital insurance policy for the future of the rotation.
For now, the consensus from experts suggests that patience is the prudent path. With his physical profile and the opportunity to refine his craft away from the immediate pressures of the big-league spotlight, Smith-Shawver appears well-positioned to prove that his long-term home belongs on the starting mound.
